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406,019

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Belgium vs. IR Iran - Player Props
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Belgium vs. IR Iran?

Volume:
$392,916

Kevin De Bruyne

 - Kalshi

Kevin De Bruyne - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 29, 2026

Closed: Jun 27, 12:33 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Kevin De Bruyne

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$46,188
N/A
N/A
$35,201
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Leandro Trossard

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,126
N/A
N/A
$10,643
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Leandro Trossard: 1+ goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,204
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Elijah Just

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,049
N/A
N/A
$7,251
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hans Vanaken

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,850
N/A
N/A
$4,800
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Hans Vanaken: 1+ goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Kevin De Bruyne: 3+ shots

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$593
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ shots

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$425
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Youri Tielemans: 2+ shots

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
$312
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Maxim De Cuyper: 1+ shots

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$302
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ shots

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$295
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Youri Tielemans: 1+ shots

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$249
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Romelu Lukaku: 1+ shots

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$235
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Mehdi Taremi: 1+ shots on target

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19.9¢
N/A
$203
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Alexis Saelemaekers: 2+ shots

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$197
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ shots on target

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19.9¢
N/A
$171
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Leandro Trossard: 1+ shots

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
18¢
N/A
$161
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ali Reza Beiranvand: 4+ saves

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$104
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Thibaut Courtois: 3+ saves

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$91
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kevin De Bruyne: 4+ shots

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
$78
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Dodi Lukebakio: 1+ shots

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$70
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Mehdi Taremi: 1+ shots

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
$65
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Thibaut Courtois: 2+ saves

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Dodi Lukebakio: 2+ shots

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Hans Vanaken: 1+ shots

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 314

Description

This event group covers player performance props for the Belgium vs. IR Iran FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 21, 2026. Markets track individual player statistics including goals, assists, shots, and shots on target across both regulation time and stoppage time (first 90 minutes only for Polymarket; entire match including extra time for Kalshi).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Time scope divergence: Kalshi includes extra time and penalty shootouts in the entire match; Polymarket explicitly limits resolution to first 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.Hero tip: If Belgium vs. IR Iran goes to extra time, Kalshi player prop markets will count stats from those additional periods, while Polymarket markets will freeze at the 90+stoppage mark. Arbitrage or hedging strategies should account for this systematic difference. Monitor live match status to determine which scope applies at settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Includes entire match duration: regulation, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. Example: 'Jeremy Doku records a goal or assist during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods).' No explicit exclusion of penalty shootouts.
  • Polymarket: Explicitly limits to first 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Example: 'This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.' Consistent across all player prop markets.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Belgium and IR Iran, scheduled for June 21 at 3:00 PM ET.

Kalshi

Each player's market resolves based on their performance during the entire match, including regulation time, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. A goal or assist by the specified player triggers a Yes resolution. If a player is active in the squad but never enters the game, the market settles to the last fair market price before game start. Once a player enters the game, settlement is determined by the goals and assists they record during play.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket operate on real-time trader consensus rather than fixed sportsbook lines, often reflecting sharper, more dynamic pricing as new information emerges. While traditional sportsbooks set odds to balance liability, prediction markets aggregate distributed knowledge from thousands of participants, sometimes pricing outcomes before conventional bookmakers adjust. For player props in particular, prediction markets can react faster to team news, injury reports, or lineup changes, making them useful for comparing against static sportsbook spreads.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and settlement rule interpretations. Kalshi and Polymarket may define prop outcomes—such as what counts as an assist or goal contribution—with slight variations, leading to price gaps. Additionally, order-book depth and trading volume differ between venues; lower liquidity on one platform can create wider spreads and stale pricing. Arbitrage traders often exploit these gaps, but temporary divergences persist due to geographic restrictions, platform fees, and user-base preferences.

Team lineup announcements, injury reports, and starting XI confirmations typically trigger sharp price movement in player props. Betting syndicates and sharp traders often position ahead of official team sheets, shifting odds on key performers. Pre-match press conferences, weather conditions, and historical head-to-head trends can also influence trader sentiment. Close to kickoff, late-breaking news—such as a star player's absence or tactical shift—often causes rapid repricing as the market recalibrates expected individual contributions.