TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 21, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the exact final score of the Belgium versus IR Iran FIFA World Cup match. Across Predict, Polymarket, and Kalshi, the consensus probability for a 0-0 draw stands at 100.0%, with a 2-1 Belgium victory at 0.0%. Resolution will be determined by official FIFA statistics or event organizer data, with credible reporting as a secondary source if needed. Watch for the match kickoff on June 21, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, after which the final score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time will settle all positions.
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Belgium and IR Iran, scheduled for June 21, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Belgium vs. IR Iran match originally scheduled for June 21, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
The market resolves based on the final score of the Belgium vs IR Iran professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for June 21, 2026, measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties are not included in the determination. Each possible final score outcome—including draws (0-0, 1-1, 2-2, 3-3), Iran victories (1-0, 2-0, 3-0, 2-1, 3-1, 3-2), and Belgium victories (1-0, 2-0, 2-1, 3-0, 3-1, 3-2, 4-0, 4-1, 4-2, 4-3, 5-0, 5-1, 5-2, 6-0, 6-1)—resolves to Yes if that exact score is achieved at the end of regulation time.
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Belgium and IR Iran, scheduled for June 21, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Belgium vs. IR Iran match originally scheduled for June 21, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket and Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment rather than fixed lines set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks typically focus on match winner and total goals, whereas prediction markets break down outcomes into granular exact scores. This granularity can reveal market inefficiencies: if a specific scoreline is underpriced on a prediction market but overpriced at a sportsbook, informed traders may exploit the gap. Comparing both sources helps identify value and understand whether the decentralized crowd or professional oddsmakers are more bullish on particular Belgium vs. IR Iran outcomes.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price differences between Polymarket and Kalshi stem from variations in liquidity, user base composition, and trading activity timing. Polymarket may show stronger conviction around Belgium 1–0 IR Iran, while Kalshi traders might favor a 1–1 draw, reflecting different demographic expectations or information sets. Lower overall volume on either platform can amplify these spreads. Additionally, each platform's fee structure and user interface influence order flow patterns. Monitoring both venues reveals which exact scores command genuine consensus versus which are driven by thin liquidity, helping you assess confidence in each outcome.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, and tactical shifts. Belgium's recent form, goal-scoring trends, and defensive vulnerabilities will influence exact-score probabilities. Similarly, IR Iran's attacking capability and defensive discipline shape expectations around low-scoring or high-scoring outcomes. Weather conditions on match day, referee assignments, and historical head-to-head patterns can also shift market sentiment. Major betting syndicates or professional traders entering the market may signal new information, moving prices on favored scorelines. Monitor pre-match press conferences, official team sheets, and late-breaking injury reports for signals that could reshape the exact-score odds landscape.