TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 6:49 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Over/Under 0.5 goals will be scored in the Belgium vs. France UEFA Nations League match. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to Belgium vs. France: O/U 0.5. The resolution source for this market is the official UEFA website: https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/. Keep an eye on the kickoff time of the match itself on September 28th at 2:45 PM ET, as the outcome will be determined by goals scored during the game.
More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for September 28 at 2:45 PM ET.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, which can differ from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a profit margin into their odds, while this market is driven purely by supply and demand among traders. Therefore, you may observe discrepancies between the implied probabilities on Polymarket and those offered by traditional sportsbooks. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, analytical approaches, and risk assessments influencing each group of participants.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Belgium vs. France match. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a particular outcome, the higher its price rises, indicating increased confidence among traders. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Belgium vs. France match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as officially recorded by the governing sporting body, will determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor official sources for the definitive result to understand the market’s settlement.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before Sep 28, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in team formations, or unexpected weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Major upsets in other qualifying matches, or even public statements from team coaches, could also influence the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, large volume trades on Polymarket from informed participants could signal a change in expectations, prompting further price adjustments in this market.