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406,065

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2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Belgium vs. France
kalshi
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Belgium vs. France?

Volume:
$17,202,339

France

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 28, 2026

Closed: Sep 28, 4:45 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

France

View
100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,597,986
N/A
N/A
$3,227,205
Settled
Yes
polymarket

France

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,523,322
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

BEL

View
1%
25%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$197
$62,504
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

FRA

View
99%
47%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$23,737
$346,708
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Belgium

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,660,010
N/A
N/A
$2,107,734
Settled
No
polymarket

Belgium

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,514,154
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
1%
24%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$178
$92,897
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,092,879
N/A
N/A
$569,712
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Belgium vs. France)

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$311,880
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a UEFA Nations League match between Belgium and France scheduled for September 28, 2026. Markets cover which team will win or if the game will end in a draw, all within the first 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms define resolution based on the same timeframe (90 minutes + stoppage time) and utilize a consistent hierarchy of data sources for settlement.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (UEFA)

Core resolution logic:

  • Markets resolve based on the outcome (win, loss, or draw) within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • Official match statistics are the primary resolution source, with fallback options (Flashscore, Sofascore, consensus reporting) if official data is delayed or unavailable.
  • Postponed games keep markets open until completion.
  • Canceled games resolve 'No' for win markets and 'Yes' for draw markets (Polymarket).

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • No Official Data: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, Flashscore data will be used. If Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore will be used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, markets will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Game Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, win markets resolve 'No' and draw markets resolve 'Yes'.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official match statistics are available, or within 24 hours of the event's conclusion using the specified fallback sources.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Monday, September 28, 2026 between Belgium and France.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the result of the Belgium vs France professional UEFA Nations League soccer match originally scheduled for September 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified condition is met for each market: Belgium wins for the Belgium market, France wins for the France market, or the game ends in a tie for the Tie market. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Monday, September 28, 2026 between Belgium and France.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those seen in this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit from balanced betting, while prediction markets incentivize accurate predictions. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly differs from expert analysis. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team rankings and statistics, this market dynamically adjusts based on real-money bets, potentially revealing information not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms.

Prices for this market on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to variations in trader participation, market design, and the specific incentives offered on each platform. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, Polymarket might attract a different demographic of traders than Kalshi, leading to differing opinions reflected in the prices. Additionally, the liquidity and volume on each platform can influence price discovery; lower volume may result in greater price volatility. These factors contribute to the possibility of observing discrepancies even though both platforms are tracking the same underlying event—the Belgium vs. France match.