TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 15, 4:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the assist performance of selected Belgian and Egyptian players during the FIFA World Cup match between Belgium and Egypt on June 15, 2026. Markets measure whether each player reaches specified assist thresholds (1 or more, 2 or more) across the full match duration.
Each market resolves to Yes if the specified player records at least the stated number of assists during the entire Belgium vs Egypt FIFA World Cup match on June 15, 2026, encompassing regulation time, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. Resolution is based on official match statistics. If a player is listed as active but does not enter the game, the market settles to the last fair market price before game start. Once a player enters the game, settlement is determined by their recorded assist count for that match.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show materially different implied probabilities than traditional sports betting sites, especially as match day approaches and new information surfaces. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd on Kalshi sees value relative to conventional bookmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts reflecting different assist outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform displays bid-ask spreads that tighten or widen based on liquidity and trading activity. As traders place orders, the mid-price adjusts to reflect the latest consensus. You can enter limit or market orders to take positions, and the market's price at any moment represents the marginal trader's view of the probability of each outcome.
This market resolves around Jun 15, 2026, once the Belgium vs Egypt match concludes and the final assist count is confirmed. The outcome will be verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding positions at resolution will be settled based on the verified assist total. Until that point, prices will fluctuate as match conditions, team news, and other factors influence trader expectations about assist production.
Key catalysts include team lineup announcements, injury reports affecting playmakers, and pre-match analysis from credible sports media. Betting-market movement on related props—such as goals or player performance—can also shift assist expectations. Live match events like early goals, red cards, or substitutions will drive sharp repricing as traders update their forecasts. Weather conditions and venue factors may influence passing accuracy and assist likelihood. Monitor official team news and injury updates closely, as they often trigger the largest intraday swings.