TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 2, 3:30 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if Belgium wins by 2 or more goals against Croatia during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Friendlies match scheduled for June 2, 2026, 16:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 2, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Limitless, this outcome is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability that Belgium defeats Croatia by exactly 2 goals or more. The price moves based on order flow and trader positioning; as more capital flows toward the outcome, the price rises, and vice versa. Limitless uses an automated market maker or order-book model to ensure continuous liquidity. The current price directly translates to an implied probability, allowing you to quickly assess whether the market sees Belgium's dominant victory as likely or a long shot relative to your own forecast.
The market resolves on Jun 3, 2026, after the Belgium vs Croatia match concludes. Resolution is determined by the final official match score. The outcome resolves YES if Belgium's goal margin is 2 or greater; it resolves NO if Belgium wins by exactly 1 goal, draws, or loses. Official FIFA or tournament records serve as the authoritative source. Early resolution may occur if the match is abandoned or rescheduled under extraordinary circumstances, though standard completion determines the vast majority of outcomes.
Key catalysts include team news on injuries to star players, lineup announcements, and recent form in qualifying or friendlies. Belgium's attacking depth and Croatia's defensive record are central to pricing a 2-goal margin. Tactical shifts, managerial decisions, and head-to-head history also influence trader sentiment. Weather conditions on match day, crowd atmosphere, and early-match momentum can shift odds in real time. Major upsets or surprising team selections in the days before Jun 3, 2026 often trigger sharp repricing as traders reassess the likelihood of a decisive Belgian victory.