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Closed: Jun 15, 6:13 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Belgium and Egypt (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for June 15, 2026, 19:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 15, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Belgium and Egypt (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for June 15, 2026, 19:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 15, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Limitless, this event is priced as a binary outcome contract reflecting the probability that Belgium and Egypt receive 4 or more combined cards. The platform uses continuous order-book matching to set prices; traders buy YES or NO shares, and the current market price reflects the marginal trader's belief. As new information—such as referee assignments, injury reports, or historical card patterns for both teams—enters the market, prices adjust dynamically. The spread between bid and ask reflects liquidity and uncertainty around the final card count.
The market resolves on Jun 16, 2026, following the conclusion of the Belgium–Egypt match. Resolution is determined by the total number of yellow and red cards issued to both teams combined during regulation and any added time. The outcome is binary: if the combined card count reaches 4 or more, the YES outcome resolves to 1.0 and NO resolves to 0.0; if fewer than 4 cards are shown, NO resolves to 1.0 and YES to 0.0. Official match records and card statistics from the governing body determine the final tally.
Key catalysts include confirmed team lineups and disciplinary histories—players with prior suspensions or yellow-card accumulation may influence referee caution levels. Referee assignment is critical; some officials issue cards more liberally than others. Pre-match news about tactical aggression, rivalry intensity, or injury-driven frustration can shift expectations. During the match itself, early cards, aggressive fouls, and player confrontations will move odds in real time. Weather conditions, pitch quality, and match flow (close score or blowout) also affect card accumulation. Traders monitor all these signals to reprice the probability continuously.