TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 7:01 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Beşiktaş JK and Olympique de Marseille, scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Beşiktaş JK" if Beşiktaş JK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Olympique de Marseille" if Olympique de Marseille are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Beşiktaş JK and Olympique de Marseille, scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Beşiktaş JK" if Beşiktaş JK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Olympique de Marseille" if Olympique de Marseille are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates opinions from many participants. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when there's significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights, though it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees, of which team will score first.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in Olympique de Marseille to score first, the price of those shares increases, and the implied probability rises accordingly. Conversely, increased trading activity favoring Beşiktaş JK would drive down the price of their shares. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective forecast.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team scores the first goal in the Beşiktaş JK versus Olympique de Marseille match. The result will be based on official match data and verified against credible public sources. Any potential delays in official reporting could impact the resolution timeline, but the platform will strive for a swift and accurate determination of the winning outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to the match. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Beşiktaş JK or Olympique de Marseille would likely cause significant shifts in probabilities. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to team morale or internal conflicts could also contribute to movement in this market, as traders react to new information and adjust their forecasts.