TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Beşiktaş JK vs. Galatasaray SK
Volume:
$589,816
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a professional Super Lig soccer match between Beşiktaş JK and Galatasaray SK scheduled for March 7, 2026. Markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: Beşiktaş win, draw, or Galatasaray win, evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market contains an asymmetric cancellation clause (resolves YES if game canceled) that has no counterpart in Kalshi's Tie market specification. This creates potential settlement divergence in a cancellation scenario.Hero Tip:
Monitor official Turkish Football Federation (TFF) announcements for any postponement or cancellation notices. If cancellation occurs, Polymarket's draw market will resolve YES while Kalshi's Tie market resolution remains unclear—contact Kalshi support immediately for clarification before the event date to avoid settlement disputes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: (1) Beşiktaş win resolves NO if canceled, (2) Draw resolves YES if canceled with no make-up, (3) Galatasaray win resolves NO if canceled. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' (draw market only).
- Kalshi: Three separate binary markets (Besiktas win, Tie, Galatasaray win) all resolve YES if their respective outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided for any market, including the Tie market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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