Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi align on the same match outcome (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties), the same primary resolution source (tff.org), and identical postponement/cancellation protocols (remain open until played, or resolve 50-50 if canceled entirely).
Primary resolution logic:
tff.org (Turkish Football Federation official match statistics)
Core resolution logic:
Resolution is based on the official final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from all market resolutions
Over/Under markets resolve based on combined total goals: O/U 1.5 resolves Over if 2+ goals, O/U 2.5 resolves Over if 3+ goals, O/U 3.5 resolves Over if 4+ goals, O/U 4.5 resolves Over if 5+ goals
Both Teams to Score resolves Yes only if both teams score at least one goal each
Spread markets resolve based on margin of victory: Beşiktaş (-1.5) wins if Beşiktaş wins by 2+, Beşiktaş (-2.5) wins if Beşiktaş wins by 3+, Karagümrük (-1.5) wins if Karagümrük wins by 2+, Karagümrük (-2.5) wins if Karagümrük wins by 3+
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on its rescheduled date
Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50 (split between Yes and No outcomes)
Incomplete Match: If the match begins but is not completed (abandoned), resolution uses the official final score published by tff.org
Delayed Official Publication: If tff.org does not publish final match statistics within 2 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting sources may be used as fallback resolution source
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time). Official publication from tff.org is expected within 2 hours of match end. Markets remain open if postponed and resolve 50-50 only if canceled with no rescheduled makeup game.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.