TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 11:38 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Beijing Guoan FC and Zhejiang Zhiye FC, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Beijing Guoan FC" if Beijing Guoan FC score more goals than Zhejiang Zhiye FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Beijing Guoan FC and Zhejiang Zhiye FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Zhejiang Zhiye FC" if Zhejiang Zhiye FC score more goals than Beijing Guoan FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Beijing Guoan FC and Zhejiang Zhiye FC, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Beijing Guoan FC" if Beijing Guoan FC score more goals than Zhejiang Zhiye FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Beijing Guoan FC and Zhejiang Zhiye FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Zhejiang Zhiye FC" if Zhejiang Zhiye FC score more goals than Beijing Guoan FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders risking real capital on their beliefs. Prediction markets frequently offer sharper, more dynamic pricing because traders continuously adjust positions based on breaking news, team updates, and live match developments. Comparing the two can reveal where professional bettors and casual traders disagree on the likely outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell outcome shares directly against a liquidity pool. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The cost of each share reflects the current probability assigned by the pool, and prices shift dynamically as traders execute trades. This continuous repricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and trader conviction, with spreads tightening as volume increases and more capital flows into the most likely outcomes.
This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, once the second half of the Beijing Guoan versus Zhejiang Zhiye match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the final score or result recorded in the official match record, with traders' positions settled according to which outcome occurred. Early resolution is possible if the match is abandoned or postponed beyond the resolution window, though standard fixtures resolve on schedule following the final whistle.
Key catalysts include team news such as injury announcements, lineup changes, or tactical shifts that alter perceived strength in the second half. Weather conditions, pitch quality, and referee assignments can also influence trader positioning. Live match developments—such as goals, red cards, or momentum swings in the first half—typically drive sharp repricing as traders update their expectations for the second-half outcome. Late-breaking injury reports or unexpected team withdrawals closer to kickoff may trigger significant volatility in this market.