TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 11:50 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Beijing Guoan FC and Zhejiang Zhiye FC, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Beijing Guoan FC" if Beijing Guoan FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Zhejiang Zhiye FC" if Zhejiang Zhiye FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Beijing Guoan FC and Zhejiang Zhiye FC, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Beijing Guoan FC" if Beijing Guoan FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Zhejiang Zhiye FC" if Zhejiang Zhiye FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant pools and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. On Polymarket, odds are determined by supply and demand among participants, making them sensitive to breaking news, team news, or lineup changes. Comparing this market's prices to major sportsbooks can reveal where informed traders see value, though prediction markets typically show tighter spreads once volume builds.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The cost of each share adjusts based on the ratio of yes to no positions in the pool, creating a continuous price discovery process. As traders accumulate positions favoring one team to score first, the price of that outcome rises and the opposing outcome falls. This mechanism ensures liquidity is always available and prices reflect the collective assessment of all active participants.
This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal during regular play. After the final whistle, the winning outcome is confirmed and traders holding the correct position receive their payout. Early resolution is possible if one team is eliminated or the match is officially cancelled before kickoff.
Key catalysts include team lineup announcements, injury updates to star forwards or defensive players, and recent form trends for both sides. Weather conditions at kickoff can influence early-game tactics and attacking intensity. Pre-match analysis from credible sports journalists or tactical breakdowns may shift trader sentiment. Live betting momentum during the opening minutes sometimes reflects sharp action that wasn't priced in beforehand. Unexpected tactical changes or substitution patterns revealed just before kickoff can also trigger significant price swings as traders adjust their positions.