TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 11:37 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Beijing Guoan FC and Zhejiang Zhiye FC, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Beijing Guoan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC match originally scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Beijing Guoan FC and Zhejiang Zhiye FC, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Beijing Guoan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC match originally scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and lock in margin, while prediction markets like this one aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. Traders here profit by spotting mispricings relative to bookmaker lines, so if a sportsbook underestimates the likelihood of a 2–1 scoreline, this market's price may drift higher as informed traders accumulate positions. Over time, prediction markets tend to incorporate public information faster, making them a useful benchmark for comparing consensus expectations against traditional betting venues.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that adjusts odds continuously as traders buy and sell shares for each exact score outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each scoreline is a separate contract, and the price of a share reflects the crowd's estimated probability of that result. When you buy shares in a 1–0 outcome, you're betting that final scoreline will occur; if it does, your shares convert to full value at settlement. The spread between bid and ask prices narrows as volume increases, rewarding active traders with tighter execution on larger positions.
This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, once the Beijing Guoan versus Zhejiang Zhiye match concludes and the final scoreline is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact number of goals each team scores during regular play; extra time and penalty shootouts, if applicable, are typically excluded unless the market terms specify otherwise. Traders should monitor official league announcements and match reports to confirm the final score, as any discrepancies are resolved according to the platform's standard procedures for sports events.
Key injury announcements, lineup confirmations, and recent form updates can shift odds significantly in the days before kickoff. Weather conditions at the venue, referee assignments, and head-to-head tactical matchups also influence trader positioning. During the match itself, early goals, red cards, and momentum swings drive sharp repricing of remaining scoreline probabilities. Historical performance data—such as each team's typical goal output and defensive record—provides a baseline, but breaking news or unexpected team changes often trigger rapid rebalancing. Traders monitoring team social media, press conferences, and league updates gain an edge in anticipating these moves.