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Beijing Guoan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC
polymarket
kalshi

Beijing Guoan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC

Volume:
$236,326

Beijing Guoan FC

 - Polymarket

Beijing Guoan FC - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 27, 2026

Closed: Jun 27, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Beijing Guoan FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$68,088
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Beijing Guoan

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$47,100
N/A
N/A
$29,559
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$59,890
N/A
N/A
$30,371
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Beijing Guoan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,525
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Wuhan Three Towns FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$39,574
N/A
N/A
$31,861
Settled
No
polymarket

Wuhan San Zhen FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,150
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Chinese Super League soccer match between Beijing Guoan FC and Wuhan San Zhen FC (also referred to as Wuhan Three Towns FC) scheduled for June 27, 2026. Markets are offered on both platforms asking whether Beijing Guoan will win, Wuhan will win, or the match will end in a draw, all evaluated on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms apply identical resolution logic: official CSL governing body statistics determine the outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official Chinese Super League (CSL) statistics and governing body declaration; if unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used as secondary source.

Core resolution logic:

  • Match outcome is determined by the official final result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts.
  • Beijing Guoan win market resolves Yes if Beijing Guoan scores more goals than Wuhan; otherwise No.
  • Wuhan win market resolves Yes if Wuhan scores more goals than Beijing Guoan; otherwise No.
  • Draw market resolves Yes if both teams score equal goals after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; otherwise No.
  • If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed and officially decided.
  • If match is canceled entirely with no make-up game: Beijing Guoan and Wuhan win markets resolve to No; draw market resolves to Yes.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is played and completed. Resolution occurs only after the rescheduled match concludes.
  • Cancellation without make-up: Win markets for both teams resolve to No; draw market resolves to Yes. This reflects that no match outcome occurred.
  • Post-resolution score revision: Official score revisions made after market resolution are not recognized. Markets settle on the officially declared final result at the time of resolution.
  • Secondary source fallback: If CSL governing body does not publish final statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used as tiebreaker.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time) and the official final result is declared by the Chinese Super League governing body or event organizers, typically within 2 hours of match end.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Chinese Super League game, scheduled for Saturday, June 27, 2026 between Beijing Guoan FC and Wuhan San Zhen FC.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the professional Chinese Super League soccer match between Beijing Guoan and Wuhan Three Towns FC originally scheduled for June 27, 2026, evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). Each outcome—a win for Beijing Guoan, a win for Wuhan Three Towns FC, or a tie—resolves its corresponding market to Yes based on the actual match result. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets aggregate real-time trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market reflects what thousands of independent traders believe will happen, often incorporating information faster than sportsbooks adjust their lines. Comparing the two can reveal where public perception diverges from professional oddsmaking, though both reflect genuine uncertainty about the match result.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, fee structures, and liquidity pools, which naturally produces price variations. Polymarket and Kalshi may also enforce slightly different outcome definitions or resolution timing, leading traders to price risk differently. Additionally, order flow imbalances on one platform can temporarily push odds away from the other until arbitrageurs step in. These spreads typically narrow as the event approaches and information becomes more concrete.

Key catalysts include team roster updates, injury announcements for star players, recent form and head-to-head records, and any changes to league standings that affect motivation. Weather conditions on match day and venue factors can also influence play style and scoring likelihood. Media coverage, expert predictions, and shifts in betting sentiment across other platforms may trigger repricing as new information surfaces. Monitor official team communications and league news for developments that could reshape trader expectations before the final whistle.