Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms resolve based on the official match outcome (win, loss, or draw) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 25, 2026, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from the Chinese Super League (CSL) governing body or event organizers, with fallback to credible reporting consensus if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
The match outcome is determined solely by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
Polymarket Draw market resolves YES if the match ends in a draw, NO otherwise; if canceled with no makeup, resolves YES.
Polymarket Beijing Guoan Win market resolves YES if Beijing Guoan wins, NO otherwise; if canceled with no makeup, resolves NO.
Polymarket Tianjin Jinmen Hu Win market resolves YES if Tianjin Jinmen Hu wins, NO otherwise; if canceled with no makeup, resolves NO.
Kalshi market resolves YES if any of the three outcomes (Beijing Guoan win, Tianjin Jinmen Hu win, or tie) occurs, which means it always resolves YES.
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
Exactly one of the three mutually exclusive outcomes will occur: Beijing Guoan win, Tianjin Jinmen Hu win, or draw.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game, Polymarket Draw market resolves YES while Beijing Guoan and Tianjin Jinmen Hu win markets resolve NO. Kalshi market would resolve YES (as a tie outcome is treated as a valid resolution).
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets across both platforms remain open until the match is completed and a final result is determined.
Resolution Source Timing: Official CSL statistics are the primary source. If not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used as fallback.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official announcement of the final match result by the Chinese Super League governing body or event organizers, or upon consensus credible reporting if official statistics are delayed beyond 2 hours post-match.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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