TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 4, 7:35 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Beijing Guoan FC and Shandong Taishan FC, scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Beijing Guoan FC" if Beijing Guoan FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Shandong Taishan FC" if Shandong Taishan FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Beijing Guoan FC and Shandong Taishan FC, scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Beijing Guoan FC" if Beijing Guoan FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Shandong Taishan FC" if Shandong Taishan FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader consensus rather than fixed odds set by oddsmakers. On platforms like Polymarket, prices adjust continuously as new information arrives, making them responsive to breaking news, team announcements, or public sentiment shifts. Sportsbooks, by contrast, manage risk through margin and may lag behind market-moving events. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether traders are pricing in factors that conventional bookmakers have not yet fully reflected, offering a window into where informed participants see value.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling shares that represent each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective probability estimate: a share trading at 0.75 implies a 75% chance of that outcome occurring. Liquidity pools and order books allow participants to enter or exit positions at any time before the match concludes. As new information surfaces—such as team news, weather conditions, or pre-match analysis—traders adjust their positions, causing prices to shift in real time and converging toward the true likelihood of each team scoring first.
This market resolves around Jul 4, 2026, once the match between Beijing Guoan FC and Shandong Taishan FC concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by whichever team scores the opening goal during regular play. Once the event is finalized and confirmed through official match reporting, the market settles automatically, paying out traders who correctly predicted the first scorer. Participants should monitor official team announcements and match updates to stay informed as the resolution date approaches.
Several catalysts can shift odds in this market before kickoff. Team news—such as injuries to key strikers, lineup changes, or tactical adjustments—often triggers sharp price moves. Weather conditions, home-field advantage, and recent form trends also influence trader positioning. Pre-match analysis from respected analysts or unexpected roster announcements can spark volatility. Additionally, betting patterns and large trades by sophisticated participants may signal conviction, prompting others to adjust their positions. Close monitoring of official team social media, press conferences, and sports news outlets will help traders stay ahead of market-moving developments.