TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 4, 3:33 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on the margin of victory in an upcoming Champions League soccer match between Be'er Sheva and Crvena Zvezda. They evaluate how many goals the winning team scores beyond the opponent, with different thresholds defining each market outcome.
All markets resolve based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time of the scheduled Champions League match on August 4, 2026, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome occurs only if the stated goal-difference condition is met by the winning team. Specifically, Be'er Sheva must win by more than 2.5 goals to trigger the first market, more than 1.5 goals to trigger the second, while Crvena Zvezda must win by more than 1.5 goals for the third market and more than 2.5 goals for the fourth. If none of these conditions are satisfied—including draws, wins within the specified margins, or any post-regulation decisions—the markets resolve to 'No'. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league or ownership of related intellectual property.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the odds for this market through buying and selling contracts. The current implied probability reflects the market’s view of which team is favored to cover the spread. As new information emerges — such as player injuries or recent performance — traders adjust their positions, shifting the price. This decentralized pricing mechanism allows for rapid updates that can differ from traditional betting platforms.
This market resolves around Aug 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread result will be calculated based on the official match score, and contracts will settle accordingly. Timing is tied directly to the conclusion of the game, ensuring a clear and timely resolution for all participants.
Injuries to key players, changes in team strategies, or recent performance trends could all shift this market. Weather conditions, coaching decisions, and even early game momentum may influence trader sentiment. As the match nears, any news affecting either team’s likelihood of covering the spread can cause rapid price movements. Keeping an eye on pre-game analysis and last-minute updates will help anticipate potential shifts.