TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 30
- Kalshi
Above 30 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Closed: Aug 10, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
Beast of Reincarnation is an entertainment release that will be reviewed and scored on Metacritic. The critical reception of the title will be measured by its aggregated Metascore seven days after its official release.
Kalshi
Resolution is determined by the Metascore for Beast of Reincarnation as published on Metacritic, measured seven days after release at 10:00 AM ET. The score used will be from the first platform listed on the Metacritic page for Beast of Reincarnation if no specific platform is designated. Each market outcome corresponds to whether the Metascore exceeds a specific threshold: 10, 20, 30, 40, 50, 60, 70, 80, 90, or 95 points. A market resolves to Yes if the Metascore is strictly above its designated threshold at the specified resolution time, and No otherwise. This market is not endorsed by Metacritic and references to Metacritic are descriptive only.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they aggregate real-money bets from many participants rather than relying on a small group of critics or reviewers. Traders in this market incorporate advance reviews, director reputation, genre trends, and audience sentiment to price their positions. While analysts may issue point estimates or ranges, this market continuously updates as new information emerges, sometimes leading to sharper or earlier signals than conventional forecasting methods.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares tied to specific Metacritic score ranges or outcomes. The market price reflects the last executed trade, and the spread between buy and sell orders indicates how confident traders are in the current consensus. As new information about the film emerges—such as premiere reviews or critical reception—traders adjust their positions, moving the price to reflect updated expectations.
This market resolves around Aug 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the Beast of Reincarnation's Metacritic score is finalized and verifiable from credible public sources. The resolution hinges on the official Metacritic aggregation of professional critic reviews, which typically stabilizes shortly after the film's wide release. Traders should monitor the film's premiere date and early critical reception as key milestones leading up to market settlement.
Major catalysts include the film's premiere date, early festival screenings, advance critic reviews, and social media buzz from industry insiders. A strong or weak showing at film festivals can shift sentiment significantly. Additionally, director statements, casting news, or comparison to similar films in the genre may influence trader positioning. As release approaches, each new review aggregated on Metacritic will incrementally adjust the market price, with the final score becoming increasingly predictable as more critics weigh in.
