TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
BC Dubai vs. Panathinaikos
Volume:
$458,372
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for March 24 at 2:30PM ET: If the BC Dubai win, the market will resolve to "BC Dubai". If the Panathinaikos win, the market will resolve to "Panathinaikos". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure is logically contradictory and unresolvable: both outcomes (Dubai win and Panathinaikos win) are specified to resolve to YES, making it impossible to distinguish between them. Polymarket uses standard binary logic where one team's victory resolves to that team's name, creating a fundamental incompatibility in settlement outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market — it contains a logical error that makes resolution impossible. If you hold a position on Kalshi, contact support immediately. Polymarket's market is resolvable and should be treated as the authoritative settlement reference for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's resolution rules state 'If Dubai Basketball wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Panathinaikos BC wins...then the market resolves to Yes,' meaning both possible outcomes map to the same result (YES). This creates a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable and unambiguous settlement impossible.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket uses standard binary logic where 'If the BC Dubai win, the market will resolve to BC Dubai' and 'If the Panathinaikos win, the market will resolve to Panathinaikos,' with explicit handling for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). This is logically coherent and resolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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