In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for April 10 at 2:00PM ET:
If the BC Dubai win, the market will resolve to "BC Dubai".
If the Anadolu Efes win, the market will resolve to "Anadolu Efes".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Kalshi contains a logical contradiction: both outcomes (Dubai win and Efes win) resolve to YES, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures the market as a binary outcome where exactly one team resolves to their name.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi — the market rules are logically broken and cannot be settled. Polymarket is the only reliable venue for this event, resolving to either 'BC Dubai' or 'Anadolu Efes' based on the game outcome.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Outlier: Contains a critical logical error where both possible outcomes (Dubai win OR Efes win) are stated to resolve to YES, creating an impossible resolution state. The rules state 'If Dubai Basketball wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Anadolu Efes SK wins...then the market resolves to Yes', leaving no outcome for a NO resolution.
Polymarket: Aligned with standard binary sports resolution: Market resolves to the name of the winning team ('BC Dubai' or 'Anadolu Efes'), with explicit handling for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). The rules state 'If the BC Dubai win, the market will resolve to BC Dubai. If the Anadolu Efes win, the market will resolve to Anadolu Efes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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