TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 21, 6:30 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Australia Cup game between Bayswater City SC and Sydney FC, scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Bayswater City SC" if Bayswater City SC score more goals than Sydney FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Bayswater City SC and Sydney FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Sydney FC" if Sydney FC score more goals than Bayswater City SC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Australia Cup game between Bayswater City SC and Sydney FC, scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Bayswater City SC" if Bayswater City SC score more goals than Sydney FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Bayswater City SC and Sydney FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Sydney FC" if Sydney FC score more goals than Bayswater City SC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders responding to new information and their own forecasts. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper, more reactive pricing because participants have direct financial incentive to correct mispriced outcomes. Comparing this market's implied probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal where the two venues disagree on the second half result.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share represents a claim on one possible second half result, and the price of each share reflects the collective probability estimate of all active traders. As new information emerges—team news, injury updates, or live match developments—traders adjust their positions, moving prices in real time. The current odds you see represent the marginal price at which the next trade will execute.
This market resolves around Jul 21, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will reflect the official final score or result recorded by the relevant sports authority. Until that point, prices may fluctuate as traders react to live match events, team performance, and any other factors they believe will influence the final second half outcome.
Several catalysts could shift prices in this market before resolution. Early team news—lineups, injuries, or tactical changes announced before kickoff—often triggers immediate repricing. Once the match begins, live action drives volatility: goals, red cards, or momentum swings will prompt traders to reassess probabilities. Weather conditions, player performance, and substitution patterns throughout the second half all influence trader positioning. Late-match developments, such as a team chasing an equalizer or defending a lead, typically generate the most dramatic price movements as the final whistle approaches.