TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 21, 6:30 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Australia Cup game between Bayswater City SC and Sydney FC, scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Bayswater City SC vs. Sydney FC match originally scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Australia Cup game between Bayswater City SC and Sydney FC, scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Bayswater City SC vs. Sydney FC match originally scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different liquidity pools and trader bases. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven purely by trader supply and demand. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper or more efficient pricing on niche outcomes—such as exact scores—because they attract specialists willing to stake capital on precise forecasts. However, sportsbooks may have faster information flow in some cases. Comparing the two can reveal arbitrage opportunities or validate your own assessment of the match.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds for each exact score outcome through an automated market maker or order-book mechanism, depending on the contract design. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of any given scoreline reflects the cumulative bets placed on it relative to all other outcomes. As more capital flows into a particular exact score—say, a 2–0 Bayswater City victory—its probability rises and the payout per share decreases. Conversely, outcomes with less trading activity remain higher-priced but lower-probability. This continuous repricing ensures the market stays responsive to new information and trader conviction.
This market resolves around Jul 21, 2026, once the match between Bayswater City and Sydney FC concludes and the final scoreline is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact number of goals each team scores during regular time. No other factors—such as penalty shootouts or extra-time goals in cup competitions—affect the settlement unless the match rules explicitly include them. Traders holding shares in the correct exact score receive their payout once the result is confirmed and the market is officially closed.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, or managerial changes that alter attacking or defensive capability. Recent form and head-to-head history can shift trader sentiment as the match approaches. Weather conditions on match day may influence goal-scoring likelihood. Betting market movement on other platforms or in traditional sportsbooks can signal sharp money entering the prediction market. Social media discussion, expert predictions, and pre-match analysis from credible sources often trigger repricing. Late-breaking developments like venue changes or unexpected roster decisions can also move odds significantly in the final hours before kickoff.