TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 7:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of both teams in a college football game, focusing specifically on how many rushing touchdowns each team scores. The outcome depends on whether the designated teams reach certain thresholds of rushing touchdowns during the match.
The event evaluates whether Auburn or Baylor achieves specific numbers of rushing touchdowns in their college football game scheduled for September 5, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of rushing touchdowns for either team, resolving to 'Yes' if the team meets or exceeds that threshold. Rushing touchdowns must be scored by the original ball carrier; if another player recovers and scores, it does not count. Touchdowns in overtime are included, but successful two-point conversions are excluded. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, it proceeds as scheduled. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. The markets are independent of any official NCAA affiliation, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregate beliefs of informed traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. While sportsbooks may initially favor one team, this market can shift rapidly based on analysis and insights from participants who are actively researching the matchup and its potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the event's outcome. The more traders participate, the more efficient the price discovery process becomes, leading to a more accurate reflection of the true probabilities.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of rushing touchdowns scored by each team in the Baylor vs Auburn game will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and reported by trusted sports news sources. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome, reflecting the actual events of the game.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Baylor or Auburn would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest heavy rain or strong winds, could also shift expectations about the running game. Furthermore, any updates on team strategies or coaching decisions related to rushing plays could cause traders to reassess their predictions and adjust their positions accordingly. Unexpected announcements or developments related to either team’s performance could also move this market.