TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 6:22 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory in the third quarter of a college football game between Baylor and Auburn. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded by either team during that quarter to determine the outcome.
These markets resolve based on the point differential in the third quarter of the Baylor vs Auburn college football game scheduled for September 5, 2026. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the specified team must win the third quarter by more than the stated point margin. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward these outcomes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The markets cover varying thresholds of point differentials for both teams, allowing for a range of possible outcomes depending on the third-quarter performance.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders who believe the market has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. Examining these differences can be a valuable exercise for anyone following the game.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the third quarter of the Baylor versus Auburn game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and any payouts associated with their positions shortly after the game concludes and the official results are available.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Baylor or Auburn teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's style of play, could also impact trading activity. Game day developments, such as early scoring drives or unexpected turnovers, will also drive price fluctuations. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators can also play a role, influencing trader sentiment and volume.