TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 4:28 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate how many points Baylor and Auburn will score together in the first quarter of their college football game on September 5, 2026. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to resolve as 'Yes'.
The markets resolve based on whether the combined points scored by Baylor and Auburn in the first quarter exceed specified thresholds, ranging from 2.5 to 27.5 points. Only points scored during the first quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and information aggregation. Sportsbooks set lines based on proprietary models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. Over time, prediction market prices often become more accurate forecasts than traditional odds, as they incorporate a wider range of perspectives and adapt to new information. It’s common to see convergence as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point totals for the Baylor vs Auburn 1st quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. As more traders participate, the market price converges towards a collective assessment of the event's likelihood, creating a dynamic and informative signal.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total points scored in the first quarter of the Baylor vs Auburn game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contracts. The platform will verify the data against established sports statistics providers to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Baylor or Auburn would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also shift market sentiment. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants could also cause noticeable price fluctuations as the event draws nearer.