TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 5:26 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how decisively one team outperforms the other in the first half of an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the market to settle positively.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the Baylor vs Auburn college football game scheduled for Sep 5, 2026. For Auburn-related markets, a 'Yes' outcome occurs if Auburn holds a lead exceeding the specified point differential at halftime. Conversely, Baylor-related markets resolve to 'Yes' if Baylor leads by more than the stated margin at halftime. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the actual halftime score. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets settle at a fair price, reflecting the uncertainty introduced by the cancellation or postponement beyond the allowed period. The resolving entity bears no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all team-related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more nuanced view of team performance and public sentiment than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set their spreads based on a mix of analytics and betting action, prediction markets let participants bet directly on their beliefs, which can lead to tighter spreads or bigger divergences depending on recent performance, injuries, or shifts in team form.
On Kalshi, this market uses trader input to set its current odds. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The top outcome shows Baylor winning the first half by over 3.5 points, reflecting recent trading activity. Volume of $186,373 indicates moderate interest, while the 24-hour volume of $182,261 shows how quickly contracts are changing hands. Traders adjust positions based on perceived team strengths, recent performances, and any last-minute changes in lineup or conditions.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the first-half score is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result hinges purely on the actual point spread at halftime — no adjustments or interpretations — and is finalized when official game records are published post-event.
In the time leading up to Sep 5, 2026, several factors could shift this market. Key performances in earlier games, injury reports, and coaching strategies may alter perceptions of each team's likelihood to cover the spread in the first half. Media coverage and expert analysis often influence trader sentiment, while any last-second roster changes could create rapid shifts in odds. As the game approaches, real-time betting trends on Kalshi will also reflect these evolving dynamics.