TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Baylor Bears vs. Houston Cougars
Volume:
$4,468,292
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Baylor Bears and Houston Cougars scheduled for March 4, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), multiple spread variations, and over/under total points across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline contains a logical contradiction (both outcomes resolve to Yes). Polymarket has multiple spread and total variants with inconsistent thresholds, creating ambiguity about canonical resolution values.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi moneyline — it is fundamentally unresolvable due to contradictory resolution logic. On Polymarket, clarify which spread (-15.5, -14.5, or -13.5) and total (141.5, 142.5, or 143.5) are the primary markets before committing capital. Treat each variant as a separate SKU with independent settlement risk.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states: 'If Houston wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Baylor wins...resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes cannot simultaneously resolve to Yes in a binary market. This is a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Three distinct spread markets (-15.5, -14.5, -13.5) and three distinct over/under markets (141.5, 142.5, 143.5) are listed without clarification of which is primary. Each has independent resolution logic. Moneyline and O/U markets are internally consistent, but the proliferation of spread variants creates settlement ambiguity.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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