TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the halftime result of the Bundesliga match between Bayer 04 Leverkusen and VfL Wolfsburg scheduled for April 4, 2026. Three mutually exclusive outcomes are being tracked across prediction markets: a draw at halftime, Leverkusen leading at halftime, or Wolfsburg leading at halftime. Resolution depends on the official score after 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi define identical halftime resolution criteria based on the score after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from the Bundesliga governing body or event organizers; credible reporting consensus if official statistics unavailable within 24 hours of match conclusion.Core resolution logic:
- Resolution scope is strictly the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only.
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Draw at halftime resolves Yes on Draw market; Leverkusen leading resolves Yes on Leverkusen market; Wolfsburg leading resolves Yes on Wolfsburg market.
- All other outcomes on each market resolve No.
- If match is postponed, markets remain open until the match is completed.
- If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game, all markets resolve No.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed; resolution then occurs based on the actual halftime score when played.
- Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled with no makeup game scheduled, all three halftime outcome markets resolve to No.
- Official Statistics Delay: If the Bundesliga does not publish official statistics within 24 hours after match conclusion, resolution uses consensus of credible reporting sources.
- Stoppage Time Inclusion: Halftime score includes all stoppage time added by the referee at the end of the first 45 minutes; any goals scored during stoppage time count toward halftime result.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the halftime whistle (45 minutes plus stoppage time) of the match on April 4, 2026, once official statistics are published or credible consensus is established.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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