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Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. NK Celje
polymarket
kalshi
predict
limitless

What is the result of Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. NK Celje?

Volume:
$536,643

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

all

4 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

Limitless

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 16, 2026

Closed: Sep 16, 6:57 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$323,532
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Leverkusen wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,775
N/A
N/A
$11,203
Settled
Yes
limitless

Bayer Leverkusen

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
99.8¢
N/A
$24
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

LEV

View
99%
12%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$16,166
$11,611
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
6%
3%
Yes 6¢No 94¢
—
$3,144
$5,597
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. NK Celje)

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,667
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Draw

View
N/A
N/A
99.8¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

CEL2

View
1%
4%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$188
$7,286
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

NK Celje

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$116,834
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

NK Celje wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$574
N/A
N/A
$574
Settled
No
limitless

Celje

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.7¢
N/A
$64
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Leverkusen wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26,991
N/A
N/A
$19,401
Settled
No
kalshi

Leverkusen wins by more than 3.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,028
N/A
N/A
$3,758
Settled
No
kalshi

NK Celje wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$332
N/A
N/A
$332
Settled
No
kalshi

Leverkusen wins by more than 4.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$328
N/A
N/A
$328
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Intro

This market tracks whether Bayer 04 Leverkusen will win their UEFA Europa League match against NK Celje on September 16, 2026. Currently, the aggregated probability of a Leverkusen win is 99.6%. This consensus view combines data from Polymarket, Kalshi, Predict, and Limitless, with resolution based on official match statistics from https://www.uefa.com/. Keep an eye on the match result itself on September 16, 2026, as that will determine the outcome of this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi introduces goal differential markets not present on other platforms, creating a divergence in available outcomes and resolution criteria.Hero tip: Prioritize the win/loss/draw markets on Polymarket, Predict, and Limitless. The Kalshi markets add complexity and are less directly comparable.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'Yes' if Bayer 04 Leverkusen wins within 90 minutes + stoppage time. 'No' otherwise. If postponed, remains open. If canceled, resolves 'No'.
  • Limitless: Resolves to 'YES' if Bayer Leverkusen wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Resolves 'NO' otherwise. Postponement keeps market open. Cancellation resolves 'NO'.
  • Predict: Resolves to 'Yes' if Bayer 04 Leverkusen wins within 90 minutes + stoppage time. 'No' otherwise. If postponed, remains open. If canceled, resolves 'No'.
  • Kalshi: Markets exist for Leverkusen winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, and Celje winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. Resolution is based on goal differential within 90 minutes + stoppage time.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for Wednesday, September 16, 2026 between Bayer 04 Leverkusen and NK Celje.

Kalshi

The event evaluates various goal-difference scenarios for the Leverkusen vs NK Celje Europa League match scheduled for September 16, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are possible: Leverkusen winning by more than 2.5 goals, Leverkusen winning by more than 1.5 goals, NK Celje winning by more than 1.5 goals, or NK Celje winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based solely on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts. The event explicitly states that the platform is not officially affiliated with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for Wednesday, September 16, 2026 between Bayer 04 Leverkusen and NK Celje.

Limitless

This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for September 16, 2026, 19:00 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Limitless, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the Leverkusen vs. Celje match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $536,643, with $524,277 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a consensus view of predictions, reflecting the collective wisdom of traders on each platform. Polymarket currently favors a Bayer 04 Leverkusen win, while Limitless presents a different outlook. The dashboard aggregates these probabilities to offer a comprehensive overview of expectations for this contest.

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set odds based on their internal models and aim to profit from balancing wagers, while prediction markets rely on the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets being more efficient at reflecting true probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. However, sportsbooks may offer different types of wagers not available in this market, and may have differing risk tolerances.

Prices for this market on Polymarket and Limitless can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and liquidity, all of which influence price discovery. Additionally, differing risk appetites among traders on each platform can lead to variations in probability assessments. For example, Polymarket might attract more conservative bettors, while Limitless could see more speculative trading. These dynamics, combined with varying market-making strategies, can result in discrepancies in the perceived likelihood of outcomes for the Leverkusen vs. Celje match.