TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC St. Pauli 1910
Volume:
$1,369,696
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Bundesliga match between Bayer 04 Leverkusen and FC St. Pauli 1910 scheduled for February 14, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess three mutually exclusive outcomes: Leverkusen win, St. Pauli win, or draw, all resolved based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket apply identical resolution logic: 90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties, with consistent handling of postponement and cancellation scenarios.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Bundesliga match records and match officials' final score determinationCore resolution logic:
- Resolution window is 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
- Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from resolution
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Leverkusen win (Yes on Polymarket Leverkusen market), St. Pauli win (Yes on Polymarket St. Pauli market), or draw (Yes on Polymarket draw market)
- If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
- If match is canceled with no makeup game: Leverkusen and St. Pauli win markets resolve No; draw market resolves Yes
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on its rescheduled date
- Cancellation without makeup: Win markets (Leverkusen, St. Pauli) resolve No; draw market resolves Yes, treating cancellation as a non-result
- Extra time or penalties: Explicitly excluded; only the 90-minute result plus stoppage time counts for resolution
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time), or after the rescheduled match if postponedOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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