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Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC St. Pauli 1910
kalshi
polymarket

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC St. Pauli 1910

Volume:
$1,369,696

Leverkusen

 - Kalshi

Leverkusen - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 14, 2026

Closed: Feb 14, 12:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Leverkusen

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$70,952
$522,003
N/A
N/A
$391,486
Settled
Yes
kalshi

St. Pauli

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$69,172
$47,863
N/A
N/A
$29,747
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$61,974
$19,998
N/A
N/A
$9,589
Settled
No
polymarket

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$655,641
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

FC St. Pauli 1910

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$65,789
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Draw (Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC St. Pauli 1910)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$58,402
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Bundesliga match between Bayer 04 Leverkusen and FC St. Pauli 1910 scheduled for February 14, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess three mutually exclusive outcomes: Leverkusen win, St. Pauli win, or draw, all resolved based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Kalshi and Polymarket apply identical resolution logic: 90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties, with consistent handling of postponement and cancellation scenarios.Primary resolution logic: Official Bundesliga match records and match officials' final score determination

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution window is 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
  • Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from resolution
  • Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Leverkusen win (Yes on Polymarket Leverkusen market), St. Pauli win (Yes on Polymarket St. Pauli market), or draw (Yes on Polymarket draw market)
  • If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
  • If match is canceled with no makeup game: Leverkusen and St. Pauli win markets resolve No; draw market resolves Yes

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on its rescheduled date
  • Cancellation without makeup: Win markets (Leverkusen, St. Pauli) resolve No; draw market resolves Yes, treating cancellation as a non-result
  • Extra time or penalties: Explicitly excluded; only the 90-minute result plus stoppage time counts for resolution
Timing: Resolution occurs immediately after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time), or after the rescheduled match if postponedOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.