TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC - Halftime Result
polymarket
kalshi

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC - Halftime Result

Volume:
$44,157

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 12, 2026

Closed: Mar 11, 4:45 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,644
N/A
N/A
$2,744
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,530
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Arsenal

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,755
N/A
N/A
$17,919
Settled
No
polymarket

Arsenal FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,798
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,701
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Leverkusen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,730
N/A
N/A
$1,718
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the halftime result of the Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC Champions League match scheduled for March 11, 2026. Three mutually exclusive outcomes are tracked: Leverkusen leading at halftime, a draw at halftime, or Arsenal leading at halftime. Resolution depends on the official score after 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Leverkusen Win Yes/No, Draw Yes/No, Arsenal Win Yes/No), while Kalshi's single market resolves Yes for all three possible outcomes, rendering it non-discriminative and fundamentally unresolvable as a predictive instrument.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market as specified—it will resolve Yes regardless of halftime result. Use Polymarket's three binary markets for actual price discovery. Request clarification from Kalshi on whether this is a data entry error or if the market structure was intentionally designed as a guaranteed payout.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets covering all mutually exclusive halftime outcomes. Each market resolves Yes only if its specific outcome occurs (Leverkusen lead, Draw, or Arsenal lead), and No otherwise. Resolution source is official governing body statistics within 24 hours, or credible reporting consensus if delayed. Cancellation without makeup resolves all three to No.
  • Kalshi: Single market with three conditional statements, each triggering Yes resolution. Resolves Yes if Arsenal wins first half, Yes if Tie occurs, or Yes if Leverkusen wins first half. No explicit No condition or cancellation clause provided. This structure guarantees Yes settlement regardless of match outcome.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.