TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 12:50 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming NWSL game between Bay FC and Seattle Reign FC, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 8:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bay FC" if Bay FC score more goals than Seattle Reign FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Bay FC and Seattle Reign FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Seattle Reign FC" if Seattle Reign FC score more goals than Bay FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming NWSL game between Bay FC and Seattle Reign FC, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 8:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bay FC" if Bay FC score more goals than Seattle Reign FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Bay FC and Seattle Reign FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Seattle Reign FC" if Seattle Reign FC score more goals than Bay FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they operate under different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by trader consensus and real-money stakes. For this market, prediction traders may price the second-half outcome differently than a sportsbook would, reflecting a crowd-sourced view rather than a bookmaker's risk management. Comparing the two can reveal where public opinion and professional oddsmakers disagree.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into real-time probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders purchase shares representing their belief in each outcome, and the cumulative trading activity determines the odds you see displayed. The more capital flowing into one outcome, the higher its price climbs, creating a dynamic equilibrium that reflects the collective forecast of all active participants.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, once the second half of the Bay FC versus Seattle Reign match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which team scores more goals in the second 45 minutes of regulation play. Early resolution may occur if the match is abandoned or postponed beyond the resolution window, in which case the market rules will specify how positions are settled.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before it closes. Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical adjustments announced before kickoff—often triggers sharp moves. First-half performance is a major catalyst; if one team dominates the opening 45 minutes, traders may reprice the second-half outcome based on momentum and fatigue patterns. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and real-time events during the first half can all influence trader conviction about which side will control the second half.