TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 12:48 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Bay FC and Seattle Reign FC, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 8:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bay FC" if Bay FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Seattle Reign FC" if Seattle Reign FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Bay FC and Seattle Reign FC, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 8:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bay FC" if Bay FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Seattle Reign FC" if Seattle Reign FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader consensus rather than a fixed bookmaker margin. On this market, traders continuously reprice outcomes based on team news, lineup changes, and betting flow. Sportsbooks typically adjust more slowly and build in a vigorish. Comparing the two can reveal where public opinion on the pitch outcome differs from professional oddsmakers, though both sources aim to reflect the true probability of which team scores first.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices move continuously as new capital enters or exits each outcome, so the odds you see reflect the latest consensus among active traders. The more traders backing a particular result, the higher its price climbs. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market stays responsive to breaking information and shifting expectations right up until resolution.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, once the match concludes and the outcome is verified against credible public sources. The winning outcome is determined by which team records the first goal during regulation play. Once the event is finalized and confirmed through official reporting, the market settles automatically and traders receive payouts based on their positions. No ambiguity remains once the goal is scored and logged in the official match record.
Key catalysts include team lineup announcements, injury reports affecting key forwards or defenders, and recent form trends heading into kickoff. Weather conditions, home-field advantage, and head-to-head historical scoring patterns can all shift trader positioning. Live match momentum—early possession, near-misses, and tactical adjustments—will drive sharp repricing as the game unfolds. Breaking news about player availability or tactical changes in the hours before kickoff often triggers significant price swings as traders reassess which team is more likely to break the deadlock first.