TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 2:11 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming NWSL game between Bay FC and NJ/NY Gotham FC, scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bay FC" if Bay FC score more goals than NJ/NY Gotham FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Bay FC and NJ/NY Gotham FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "NJ/NY Gotham FC" if NJ/NY Gotham FC score more goals than Bay FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming NWSL game between Bay FC and NJ/NY Gotham FC, scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bay FC" if Bay FC score more goals than NJ/NY Gotham FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Bay FC and NJ/NY Gotham FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "NJ/NY Gotham FC" if NJ/NY Gotham FC score more goals than Bay FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders who profit from accurate forecasting. Sportsbooks typically adjust lines based on betting volume and liability, whereas this market's odds emerge from continuous trading. Both can offer valuable signals, but prediction markets sometimes capture information faster when informed traders act decisively on breaking news or analysis.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time odds for each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares representing each possible result—a Bay FC second-half win, a Gotham FC second-half win, or a draw—and the price of each share adjusts based on supply and demand. As more traders buy a particular outcome, its price rises, and vice versa. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the collective belief of active participants at any given moment.
This market resolves around Jul 30, 2026, once the second half of the Bay FC vs. Gotham FC match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official final score of the second half alone, not the full match. Traders who correctly predicted whether Bay FC would win, Gotham FC would win, or the teams would draw in that period receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless.
Several factors could shift odds significantly before resolution. Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical announcements—often triggers sharp price moves as informed traders react first. Early match momentum, such as a goal or red card in the first half, typically reshapes expectations for the second half. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and recent form updates can also influence trader sentiment. As the match progresses and the first half unfolds, live information will flow into the market, causing prices to adjust in real time based on what unfolds on the pitch.