TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 2:13 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Bay FC and NJ/NY Gotham FC, scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bay FC" if Bay FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "NJ/NY Gotham FC" if NJ/NY Gotham FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Bay FC and NJ/NY Gotham FC, scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bay FC" if Bay FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "NJ/NY Gotham FC" if NJ/NY Gotham FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show higher or lower probabilities than traditional sportsbooks depending on which side attracts more informed traders. Comparing both can reveal where consensus is strongest or where specialized knowledge might be pricing outcomes differently.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into real-time probability quotes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders purchase shares representing each outcome—one team scoring first or the other—and the price of each share reflects its implied probability. As more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises and the competing outcome falls, creating a self-correcting mechanism that keeps prices aligned with aggregate trader conviction.
This market resolves around Jul 30, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is determined by which team scores first during regulation play, confirmed against credible public sources such as official league records or major sports news outlets. Early resolution may occur if one team is mathematically eliminated or if the match is abandoned; otherwise, traders must wait for final confirmation before payouts are distributed.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star forwards or defensive changes, recent form and goal-scoring trends, and head-to-head historical patterns. Pre-match analysis, lineup announcements, and weather conditions can shift trader expectations about which side is more likely to strike first. Live updates during the opening minutes—early chances, possession patterns, and tactical adjustments—typically trigger sharp repricing as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions accordingly.