TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 12:12 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match between Bay FC and Gotham, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals separate the winning team from the losing team at the end of regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Different thresholds for victory margins determine various possible outcomes.
The event evaluates multiple potential outcomes based on the goal differential in the Bay FC vs Gotham NWSL soccer match scheduled for July 29, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time—excluding extra time or penalties. Four distinct primary rules define resolution criteria: Bay FC winning by more than 2.5 goals, Bay FC winning by more than 1.5 goals, Gotham winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Gotham winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each rule specifies a unique threshold for goal differential that determines a 'Yes' resolution for its respective market. The structure allows participants to bet on varying degrees of victory margin, offering granular market opportunities centered on the match's conclusive score after regular time. All markets operate independently, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the NWSL or governing bodies, with all trademarks remaining property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader speculation and real-time data inputs. While sportsbooks set fixed lines based on analytics and risk management, this market lets participants bet on their own assessments of team performance, injuries, and tactical changes. Traders may react faster to breaking news, causing odds to shift more dynamically than standard sportsbook spreads.
This market resolves around Jul 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread recorded at the end of the match will determine which side of the market is settled, based on official league results and statistics released after the game concludes.