TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 5:06 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the tennis match between Leolia Jeanjean and Carolina M. Alves in Barranquilla will be completed. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Barranquilla: Completed Match: Leolia Jeanjean vs Carolina M. Alves”. Resolution will be based on the official scores reported at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Keep an eye on the originally scheduled match date of September 8, 2026 at 11:00AM ET, as this is when the match is expected to begin and the outcome will become clear.
This market refers to the tennis match between Leolia Jeanjean and Carolina M. Alves in the Barranquilla, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leolia Jeanjean' if Leolia Jeanjean advances against Carolina M. Alves. This market will resolve to 'Carolina M. Alves' if Carolina M. Alves advances against Leolia Jeanjean. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance their risk, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook has mispriced the match, the prediction market odds will likely move in the opposite direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money has been traded on either side. Analyzing these differences can reveal valuable insights into public perception and potential value bets.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants. The current price reflects the aggregated assessment of all traders on Polymarket regarding the likelihood of each player winning.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the official result of the Leolia Jeanjean versus Carolina M. Alves tennis match. Verification will rely on widely available and trusted sources that report the final score and winner of the match. The platform will then finalize the market, and shares will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the match result as it approaches the resolution date.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like court surface or weather), or significant shifts in player form could all move the odds. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to this one, or even commentary from tennis analysts, could also impact trader sentiment. Major upsets in similar tournaments or a change in betting patterns at traditional sportsbooks might also cause shifts in this market. Keep an eye on tennis news and analysis for potential catalysts.