TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 10:27 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Emiliana Arango and Carol Young Suh Lee in the Barranquilla, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Emiliana Arango' if Emiliana Arango advances against Carol Young Suh Lee. This market will resolve to 'Carol Young Suh Lee' if Carol Young Suh Lee advances against Emiliana Arango. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Emiliana Arango and Carol Young Suh Lee in the Barranquilla, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Emiliana Arango' if Emiliana Arango advances against Carol Young Suh Lee. This market will resolve to 'Carol Young Suh Lee' if Carol Young Suh Lee advances against Emiliana Arango. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set initial odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance their risk. This market, however, allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately reflect the true probability of an outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s valuable to compare both to gain a comprehensive understanding.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing each possible outcome – in this case, a win for either Emiliana Arango or Carol Young Suh Lee. The price of each share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more shares are traded, the price fluctuates, reflecting changes in sentiment and new information. The market efficiently aggregates the beliefs of all traders, creating a dynamic and informative price signal.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Emiliana Arango and Carol Young Suh Lee, as declared by the governing tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which player emerged victorious and settle the market accordingly. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 16, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching changes might also impact the market. Furthermore, significant betting activity itself can drive price movements, as large trades signal strong conviction from market participants. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to the match.