TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 9:36 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the margin of victory in an upcoming soccer match between Barnsley and Leicester. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold by which either team must win to settle the outcome. The resolution depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
These markets resolve based on the goal differential in the Barnsley vs Leicester professional EFL League One soccer match scheduled for September 19, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Four distinct outcome thresholds are defined: Barnsley winning by more than 2.5 goals, Barnsley winning by more than 1.5 goals, Leicester winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Leicester winning by more than 2.5 goals. If the final score meets or exceeds the specified margin for any given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Extra time and penalty phases are explicitly excluded from consideration. All markets operate independently, meaning each resolves based solely on its own criteria without affecting the others. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market relies on individuals freely expressing their beliefs through trades. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' strengths. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Barnsley vs Leicester match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the spread in the Barnsley vs Leicester match. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater expectation that the spread will fall within a particular range. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the aggregated intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread of the Barnsley vs Leicester match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the game as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will then determine which contracts pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the ranges represented by the traded contracts. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi following the event’s completion.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Sep 19, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather forecasts could all shift expectations about the Barnsley vs Leicester match. Unexpected announcements about team strategy or coaching decisions might also impact the market. Furthermore, significant bets placed by informed traders could create momentum and drive price movements. Any information that alters the perceived probability of different spread outcomes has the potential to move this market.