TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 9:51 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Barnsley FC and Leicester City FC, scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Barnsley FC" if Barnsley FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Leicester City FC" if Leicester City FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Barnsley FC and Leicester City FC, scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Barnsley FC" if Barnsley FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Leicester City FC" if Leicester City FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, incorporating a profit margin, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each team scoring first. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, attracting traders to exploit the difference. It's common to see prediction markets react quickly to new information, potentially leading to odds movements that diverge from, or converge with, sportsbook offerings.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Barnsley or Leicester will score first. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the likelihood of each team taking the lead. The current price indicates what the market believes is the fair probability of each team scoring first in this match.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team is officially recorded as scoring the first goal in the Barnsley vs Leicester match. Any potential disputes will be assessed against official match data and widely available sports news sources. The platform will determine the winning outcome based on this publicly available information, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Barnsley or Leicester would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also move the market. Unexpected pre-match announcements, such as a change in the starting lineup, could also trigger rapid price adjustments as traders react to the new information.