TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 1:59 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Zsombor Piros and Benjamin Hassan in the Bari, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zsombor Piros' if Zsombor Piros advances against Benjamin Hassan. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Hassan' if Benjamin Hassan advances against Zsombor Piros. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Zsombor Piros and Benjamin Hassan in the Bari, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zsombor Piros' if Zsombor Piros advances against Benjamin Hassan. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Hassan' if Benjamin Hassan advances against Zsombor Piros. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows a broader range of participants to express their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can take positions in this market, driving the price towards their collective assessment. Discrepancies can emerge due to differing information access, biases, or simply the larger sample size contributing to prediction market pricing.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. The price of each share reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently incorporates new information as it becomes available, as traders adjust their positions based on news, analysis, and their own insights regarding the Piros vs Hassan match. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective prediction.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Piros vs Hassan match, as declared by the governing tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning player and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out based on the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, expert analysis or public opinion shifts regarding the relative strengths of Piros and Hassan could drive trading activity. Major upsets in other related matches or tournaments might also indirectly affect confidence in either player, leading to movements in this market.