TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 9:49 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew William Donald and Dimitris Sakellaridis in the Bari, Italy , Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 5:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matthew William Donald' if Matthew William Donald advances against Dimitris Sakellaridis. This market will resolve to 'Dimitris Sakellaridis' if Dimitris Sakellaridis advances against Matthew William Donald. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew William Donald and Dimitris Sakellaridis in the Bari, Italy , Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 5:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matthew William Donald' if Matthew William Donald advances against Dimitris Sakellaridis. This market will resolve to 'Dimitris Sakellaridis' if Dimitris Sakellaridis advances against Matthew William Donald. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market aims to represent the true probabilities as assessed by traders. If prediction market odds significantly diverge from sportsbook odds, it could suggest that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent different forms of opinion and are subject to their own biases and information sets.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Bari match. It’s important to note that the platform relies on publicly available information to determine the winner, and the process is designed to be transparent and objective. Traders should monitor external sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding team form, player injuries, or changes in coaching staff could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in related matches or broader sporting events might also have an impact. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed participants could signal new information entering the market and cause price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 5, 2026.