TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 11:17 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew William Donald and Carles Cordoba in the Bari, Italy , Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matthew William Donald' if Matthew William Donald advances against Carles Cordoba. This market will resolve to 'Carles Cordoba' if Carles Cordoba advances against Matthew William Donald. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew William Donald and Carles Cordoba in the Bari, Italy , Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matthew William Donald' if Matthew William Donald advances against Carles Cordoba. This market will resolve to 'Carles Cordoba' if Carles Cordoba advances against Matthew William Donald. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. The current volume is $6,213.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Matthew William Donald vs Carles Cordoba tennis match in Bari, Italy. The platform will verify the outcome against widely available and trusted sources to ensure an accurate and impartial result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in expectations, causing the market to react accordingly. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 4, 2026.