TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 10:06 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between John Sperle and Giuseppe La Vela in the Bari, Italy , Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 6:20AM ET. This market will resolve to 'John Sperle' if John Sperle advances against Giuseppe La Vela. This market will resolve to 'Giuseppe La Vela' if Giuseppe La Vela advances against John Sperle. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between John Sperle and Giuseppe La Vela in the Bari, Italy , Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 6:20AM ET. This market will resolve to 'John Sperle' if John Sperle advances against Giuseppe La Vela. This market will resolve to 'Giuseppe La Vela' if Giuseppe La Vela advances against John Sperle. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their own risk and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of crowd. Discrepancies can arise from differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply the diverse opinions of participants. If you find a significant difference between the odds on Polymarket and those offered by sportsbooks, it could indicate that the market believes there's value in a particular outcome that sportsbooks haven't fully priced in.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. As more shares are traded, the price of those shares adjusts, reflecting the changing consensus of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. Higher demand for shares in a particular boxer will drive up the price, indicating a greater perceived chance of victory.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Bari boxing match between John Sperle and Giuseppe La Vela. The platform will rely on widely available sources to determine the winner and settle the market accordingly. It's important to note that the official result, as reported by recognized sports authorities, will be the determining factor for payout.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. News regarding the fighters’ training status, potential injuries, or changes in their coaching staff could all impact the odds. Public statements from the boxers themselves, or analysis from boxing experts, might also shift market sentiment. Unexpected developments in the lead-up to the fight, such as a change in venue or a last-minute opponent substitution, could also cause significant movement in this market. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either boxer winning has the potential to affect trading volume and prices.