TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 1:42 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Gianmarco Ferrari and Filippo Moroni in the Bari, Italy , Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gianmarco Ferrari' if Gianmarco Ferrari advances against Filippo Moroni. This market will resolve to 'Filippo Moroni' if Filippo Moroni advances against Gianmarco Ferrari. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gianmarco Ferrari and Filippo Moroni in the Bari, Italy , Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gianmarco Ferrari' if Gianmarco Ferrari advances against Filippo Moroni. This market will resolve to 'Filippo Moroni' if Filippo Moroni advances against Gianmarco Ferrari. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that each represents a different form of forecasting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the evolving expectations of traders regarding the Ferrari-Moroni match.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Gianmarco Ferrari and Filippo Moroni. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and accurate settlement process. Traders should monitor official announcements and reporting to stay informed about the event's progress and potential resolution triggers.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or location could also have an impact. Furthermore, significant bets placed by influential traders or large volume spikes could signal changing sentiment and cause the market to move. Monitoring news sources and observing trading activity on Polymarket will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts.