TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 29, 5:57 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Gianluca Cadenasso and Benito Sanchez Martinez in the Bari, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gianluca Cadenasso' if Gianluca Cadenasso advances against Benito Sanchez Martinez. This market will resolve to 'Benito Sanchez Martinez' if Benito Sanchez Martinez advances against Gianluca Cadenasso. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gianluca Cadenasso and Benito Sanchez Martinez in the Bari, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gianluca Cadenasso' if Gianluca Cadenasso advances against Benito Sanchez Martinez. This market will resolve to 'Benito Sanchez Martinez' if Benito Sanchez Martinez advances against Gianluca Cadenasso. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individuals betting with their own capital. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can arise from varying levels of expertise, access to information, or simply differing opinions on the likely outcome. Analyzing both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated and responsive to changing conditions. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Cadenasso vs Martinez match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final outcome. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available information to ensure fairness and transparency for all participants. The platform will determine the winner based on this external verification.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected weather conditions could shift the perceived probabilities. Public sentiment, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, can also influence trading activity. Major upsets in other related matches or tournaments might also cause traders to reassess their positions. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived likelihood of either player winning the Cadenasso vs Martinez match has the potential to move the market.