TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
This market refers to the tennis match between Filippo Moroni and Fabrizio Andaloro in the Bari, Italy , Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 5:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Filippo Moroni' if Filippo Moroni advances against Fabrizio Andaloro. This market will resolve to 'Fabrizio Andaloro' if Fabrizio Andaloro advances against Filippo Moroni. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Filippo Moroni and Fabrizio Andaloro in the Bari, Italy , Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 5:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Filippo Moroni' if Filippo Moroni advances against Fabrizio Andaloro. This market will resolve to 'Fabrizio Andaloro' if Fabrizio Andaloro advances against Filippo Moroni. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies emerge, especially when public perception differs from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. These differences can be due to varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the available data regarding the Moroni vs Andaloro match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Moroni vs Andaloro match. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently aggregates information as traders react to news, analysis, and any other relevant factors influencing the perceived likelihood of each fighter's victory.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Filippo Moroni and Fabrizio Andaloro, as determined by the governing sporting body. The market will reflect which fighter is declared the winner according to the official results, and shares will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the resolution of this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before Oct 5, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or updates on their physical condition would likely cause price movement. Pre-fight press conferences or interviews where either fighter reveals strategic insights could also influence trading activity. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks, or even significant social media buzz surrounding the Moroni vs Andaloro match, could also serve as catalysts for shifts in market sentiment and price adjustments.