TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 9:02 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Arnaboldi and Federico Iannaccone in the Bari, Italy , Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 5:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Federico Arnaboldi' if Federico Arnaboldi advances against Federico Iannaccone. This market will resolve to 'Federico Iannaccone' if Federico Iannaccone advances against Federico Arnaboldi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Arnaboldi and Federico Iannaccone in the Bari, Italy , Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 5:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Federico Arnaboldi' if Federico Arnaboldi advances against Federico Iannaccone. This market will resolve to 'Federico Iannaccone' if Federico Iannaccone advances against Federico Arnaboldi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the event. If you find a significant difference between the odds here and those offered by sportsbooks, it may indicate an opportunity for value betting, depending on your own assessment of the Arnaboldi vs Iannaccone match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand, with traders adjusting their positions based on new information or changes in sentiment regarding the Arnaboldi vs Iannaccone match. This creates a dynamic pricing system where the market odds constantly adapt to reflect the latest insights.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Arnaboldi vs Iannaccone match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against available data to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions for either Federico Arnaboldi or Federico Iannaccone would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected announcements about match scheduling or venue changes could also impact trading volume and odds. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion or expert analysis regarding the players' chances of winning could drive traders to adjust their positions, leading to significant movements in this market.