TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Barcelona vs. FC Bayern Munchen
kalshi
polymarket

Barcelona vs. FC Bayern Munchen

Volume:
$99,783

FC Barcelona

 - Kalshi

FC Barcelona - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 17, 2026

Closed: Apr 17, 5:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

FC Barcelona

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$35,326
N/A
N/A
$29,308
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Barcelona vs. FC Bayern Munchen

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16,333
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bayern Munich

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$48,124
N/A
N/A
$33,387
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

Barcelona and FC Bayern Munchen will compete in a Euroleague basketball match scheduled for April 17 at 2:30 PM ET. The market resolves based on the final outcome of the game, with specific provisions for postponements and cancellations. This is a straightforward head-to-head binary sports event with no ambiguity regarding the competing teams or league.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both outcomes (Barcelona wins AND Bayern Munich wins) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a guaranteed arbitrage or payout failure.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market. The resolution logic is broken—it resolves Yes regardless of the actual game outcome. Polymarket is the only usable venue for this event.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all logic: Barcelona win resolves to Barcelona, Bayern Munich win resolves to FC Bayern Munchen. Includes postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) clauses. Source: Euroleague Basketball official.
  • Kalshi: Logical contradiction in resolution rules: states 'If FC Barcelona wins...then resolves to Yes' AND 'If Bayern Munich wins...then resolves to Yes.' Both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), violating binary market structure and making settlement impossible.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.