TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 9:54 PM EST
Kalshi
Another pair of national soccer teams face off in a scheduled match, with the result determined by which team scores more goals during the regular duration of the game.
The event resolves based on the outcome of the Barbados vs Saint Lucia professional Concacaf Nations League soccer game scheduled for September 25, 2026. A market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, not including extra time or penalties. If the match concludes in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In cases where the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond 48 hours from the original date, markets resolve to a fair price per the rules. These markets are unaffiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. As more information becomes available and public sentiment shifts, the odds on Kalshi may converge with or diverge from those found at sportsbooks. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional bookmakers, especially when there's significant public interest or access to unique information. This can be a valuable comparison point for informed bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Barbados vs Saint Lucia match. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the event's result, and their collective actions determine the market's price movements. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will be, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Barbados vs Saint Lucia match, as declared by the governing sports authority. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Barbados or Saint Lucia could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location could also play a role. Furthermore, major upsets in other related sporting events or shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or social media, might impact trading activity. Any development that alters the perceived probability of either team winning has the potential to move this market before Sep 26, 2026.